Análisis Libertad vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+6%
+12%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2003 |
RIV
3 - 1
LIB
72%
16%
11%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 feb. 2003 |
TAC
0 - 2
LIB
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 feb. 2003 |
LIB
2 - 2
EME
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 feb. 2003 |
LIB
3 - 0
12O
60%
21%
19%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 nov. 2002 |
LIB
4 - 1
12O
58%
22%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 feb. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 1
SPO
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2003 |
GUA
3 - 2
TAC
58%
23%
19%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 dic. 2002 |
CCP
2 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2002 |
LQE
1 - 2
GUA
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 1
SPC
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |