Análisis Libertad vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
18.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+4%
+11%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 ago. 2004 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 ago. 2004 |
AME
1 - 2
LIB
24%
25%
51%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 jun. 2004 |
LIB
3 - 0
SPC
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 jun. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 jun. 2004 |
LQE
1 - 1
LIB
26%
25%
49%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 ago. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
LQE
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 jun. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 1
12O
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 jun. 2004 |
TAC
0 - 1
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 jun. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 1
SPC
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 jun. 2004 |
LIB
3 - 0
GUA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |