Análisis Libertad vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.75
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2004 |
OLI
0 - 3
LIB
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 may. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 0
AME
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2004 |
LIB
1 - 1
12O
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
CCP
2 - 2
LIB
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 abr. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
LIB
28%
24%
48%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 may. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 may. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 abr. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
AME
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 abr. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 3
GUA
57%
23%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 abr. 2004 |
BSC
2 - 0
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |