Análisis Libertad vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Empate
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+10%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2005 |
CCP
0 - 1
LIB
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2005 |
12O
2 - 1
LIB
29%
27%
44%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 sep. 2005 |
LIB
3 - 2
SAN
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2005 |
LIB
2 - 1
GEN
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 14 sep. 2005 |
OLI
1 - 0
LIB
28%
27%
46%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 oct. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 2
GEN
70%
20%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 oct. 2005 |
GUA
0 - 1
OLI
55%
24%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 2
GUA
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 sep. 2005 |
GUA
3 - 3
TAC
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2005 |
LQE
3 - 2
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | -1 |