Análisis Libertad vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
64.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.01
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+13%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 jul. 2006 |
LIB
0 - 0
SCI
37%
27%
36%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 jul. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 1
LIB
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 jul. 2006 |
LIB
3 - 1
RIV
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 jun. 2006 |
LQE
1 - 3
LIB
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 may. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 1
TAC
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 jul. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAN
50%
25%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 jun. 2006 |
2DE
3 - 0
GUA
41%
27%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 may. 2006 |
GUA
4 - 3
12O
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 may. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 may. 2006 |
LQE
2 - 1
GUA
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |