Análisis Libertad vs Guaraní
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.79
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.2%
Empate
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.98
Goles esperados
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ago. 2008 |
SAN
1 - 2
LIB
36%
27%
37%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 0
PET
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 jun. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
62%
21%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 4
LIB
50%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 jun. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 ago. 2008 |
GUA
1 - 0
LQE
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 jul. 2008 |
CCP
1 - 5
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 jun. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 3
NAC
34%
26%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 jun. 2008 |
LQE
1 - 3
GUA
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 jun. 2008 |
GUA
2 - 0
OLI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |