Análisis Libertad vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.7
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24%
Empate
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 2004 |
SPC
3 - 1
LIB
24%
25%
52%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
12O
2 - 0
LIB
22%
25%
53%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 ago. 2004 |
LIB
3 - 2
LQE
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 ago. 2004 |
LIB
0 - 2
CCP
49%
26%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2004 |
OLI
2 - 0
LIB
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 sep. 2004 |
NAC
0 - 0
LQE
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 ago. 2004 |
NAC
7 - 0
GUA
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 ago. 2004 |
AME
0 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 ago. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 1
TAC
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |