Análisis Libertad vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.69
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+12%
+9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 feb. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 2
AME
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 feb. 2005 |
LIB
0 - 4
TAC
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
30%
26%
44%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
LIB
4 - 3
CCP
46%
27%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
34%
25%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 feb. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
GUA
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 dic. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 1
12O
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 dic. 2004 |
SPC
1 - 2
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
LIB
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
LQE
3 - 3
NAC
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |