Análisis Libertad vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.81
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.9%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
20.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 2006 |
TAC
1 - 1
LIB
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 oct. 2006 |
GUA
1 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 oct. 2006 |
LIB
4 - 0
LQE
61%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2006 |
LIB
2 - 1
SAN
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2006 |
OLI
0 - 1
LIB
44%
26%
30%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 oct. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 0
GUA
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAC
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
OLI
54%
23%
22%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 oct. 2006 |
2DE
0 - 0
NAC
40%
27%
33%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 sep. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
12O
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |