Análisis Libertad vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
57.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.85
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
19.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+5%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 mar. 2007 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
55%
23%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2007 |
AME
1 - 4
LIB
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2007 |
LIB
2 - 2
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 0
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2007 |
AME
0 - 2
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 mar. 2007 |
CCP
3 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 feb. 2007 |
NAC
2 - 2
LQE
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 feb. 2007 |
OLI
1 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 dic. 2006 |
NAC
3 - 1
FER
80%
14%
6%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 nov. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |