Análisis Libertad vs Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
54.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.77
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.03
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+8%
+7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 mar. 2009 |
LIB
2 - 0
SLO
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
12O
1 - 2
LIB
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 1
LIB
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
LIB
1 - 2
OLI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
LIB
8 - 0
SAN
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
Partidos
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 feb. 2009 |
NAC
3 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 1
NAC
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 3
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 feb. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 2
CCP
43%
25%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 feb. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 0
NAC
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |