Análisis Libertad vs Paulista
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.14
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.8%
Empate
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+5%
+17%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 abr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 0
SAN
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 abr. 2006 |
LIB
1 - 1
LQE
63%
21%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 mar. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 mar. 2006 |
TAC
2 - 1
LIB
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2006 |
LIB
4 - 1
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 abr. 2006 |
COR
2 - 2
PAU
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 abr. 2006 |
PAU
2 - 1
RIV
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 abr. 2006 |
PAU
1 - 2
AME
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 mar. 2006 |
PAU
3 - 0
PAL
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 mar. 2006 |
POR
5 - 2
PAU
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |