Análisis Libertad vs Universitario Deportes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
63.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.92
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+18%
+21%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 dic. 2008 |
LIB
4 - 1
AME
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2008 |
NAC
1 - 1
LIB
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2008 |
LIB
3 - 0
2DE
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 nov. 2008 |
OLI
1 - 2
LIB
39%
27%
33%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2008 |
LIB
1 - 1
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Universitario Deportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 2
MEL
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2008 |
SBO
0 - 0
UNI
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 2008 |
UNI
2 - 1
VAL
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 nov. 2008 |
ALI
1 - 2
UNI
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2008 |
UNI
0 - 2
ALI
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |