Análisis Liga de Quito vs CD El Nacional
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
56.3%
Probabilidad gana
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.6%
Empate
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
20%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+28%
-3%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2014 |
LOJ
1 - 0
LIG
40%
29%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2014 |
LIG
1 - 2
UCE
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 dic. 2014 |
QUI
2 - 3
LIG
39%
29%
32%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 nov. 2014 |
LIG
2 - 0
IVT
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 nov. 2014 |
LIG
0 - 0
BSC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 dic. 2014 |
NAC
2 - 1
CUE
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 dic. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 dic. 2014 |
IVT
0 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 nov. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
EME
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 nov. 2014 |
MUS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |