Análisis Liga de Quito vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
76.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.32
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.7%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.56
Goles esperados
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+21%
+8%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2004 |
CUE
0 - 1
LDU
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 2004 |
AUC
1 - 1
LDU
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 sep. 2004 |
LDU
2 - 1
ESP
75%
17%
9%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2004 |
NAC
1 - 0
LDU
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2004 |
LDU
5 - 2
EME
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 sep. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 5
OLM
35%
28%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 sep. 2004 |
QUI
3 - 2
MAC
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2004 |
MAC
2 - 1
AUC
32%
29%
40%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 ago. 2004 |
BSC
3 - 1
MAC
70%
20%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 ago. 2004 |
NAC
2 - 1
MAC
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |