Análisis Liga de Quito vs Macará
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.06
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20%
Empate
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+28%
-7%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 abr. 2009 |
CUE
1 - 0
LDU
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 mar. 2009 |
TEC
1 - 4
LDU
33%
27%
40%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 mar. 2009 |
LDU
3 - 2
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2009 |
COL
3 - 0
LDU
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 0
LDU
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Macará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 mar. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 1
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 mar. 2009 |
MAC
0 - 2
QUI
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 mar. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
MAC
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 mar. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 3
OLM
46%
28%
27%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 feb. 2009 |
BSC
0 - 0
MAC
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |