Análisis Lille vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
65.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.3%
Empate
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.72
Goles esperados
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2005 |
NAN
1 - 3
LIL
46%
28%
26%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2005 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
45%
27%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2005 |
MON
2 - 0
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2005 |
STR
1 - 2
LIL
43%
28%
29%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2005 |
LIL
2 - 1
LEN
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 may. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 1
NIC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2005 |
LYO
2 - 1
AJA
77%
16%
8%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
GIR
31%
29%
41%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 abr. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
AJA
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 abr. 2005 |
AJA
4 - 3
AUX
23%
29%
48%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |