Análisis Lille vs Ajaccio
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
78.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.64
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Empate
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-1%
+2%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 oct. 2012 |
VCF
2 - 0
LIL
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 sep. 2012 |
REN
2 - 0
LIL
32%
27%
41%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
50%
24%
27%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 sep. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 3
BAT
80%
14%
7%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
LIL
16%
25%
60%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Partidos
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 sep. 2012 |
AJA
1 - 0
BRE
42%
29%
29%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 sep. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
47%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2012 |
GIR
2 - 2
AJA
66%
21%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
LYO
2 - 0
AJA
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 sep. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 0
ETG
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |