Análisis Lille vs Bastia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
46.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.4
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Empate
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.97
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
+1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2004 |
LMU
1 - 1
LIL
39%
28%
33%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
LIL
2 - 1
GIR
32%
29%
40%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2004 |
NAN
2 - 0
LIL
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
LIL
0 - 1
STR
50%
27%
24%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
MAR
2 - 1
LIL
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 may. 2004 |
LYO
1 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 0
STR
50%
26%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2004 |
REN
4 - 0
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 abr. 2004 |
BAS
0 - 2
GIR
34%
28%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 abr. 2004 |
NAN
1 - 1
BAS
57%
24%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |