Análisis Lille vs Bastia
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
77.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.55
Goles esperados
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.6%
Empate
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.71
Goles esperados
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
+4%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
LIL
24%
25%
51%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
LIL
45%
26%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 2012 |
BAT
0 - 2
LIL
27%
26%
48%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2012 |
LOR
2 - 0
LIL
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 2012 |
LIL
1 - 0
BRE
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Partidos
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 nov. 2012 |
BAS
0 - 3
LIL
24%
25%
51%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 1
LOR
29%
25%
47%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 nov. 2012 |
BRE
3 - 0
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 nov. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 3
VAL
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
AUX
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |