Análisis Lille vs Caen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.44
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Empate
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-9%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1996 |
STR
3 - 0
LIL
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 1
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1996 |
GIR
3 - 0
LIL
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1996 |
LIL
1 - 1
GUI
41%
29%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 1996 |
LIL
3 - 2
NIC
50%
28%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 sep. 1996 |
CAE
1 - 2
NIC
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 sep. 1996 |
BAS
4 - 2
CAE
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 sep. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 0
REN
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 sep. 1996 |
AUX
2 - 0
CAE
72%
18%
9%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 sep. 1996 |
CAE
0 - 0
MET
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |