Análisis Lille vs Caen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.63
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.6%
Empate
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
16.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.73
Goles esperados
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-5%
-24%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 feb. 2000 |
LMU
1 - 1
LIL
38%
29%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 feb. 2000 |
LIL
1 - 0
NIO
67%
21%
11%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2000 |
ESW
2 - 1
LIL
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 feb. 2000 |
LIL
2 - 0
TFC
51%
26%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 ene. 2000 |
CSL
1 - 2
LIL
24%
29%
47%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 feb. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 2
SOC
48%
26%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 feb. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 2
LOR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 feb. 2000 |
VAL
0 - 0
CAE
29%
29%
43%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 1
CAN
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2000 |
CAE
1 - 1
LUS
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |