Análisis Lille vs Caen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
71.3%
Probabilidad gana
2.29
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.5%
Empate
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.2%
Probabilidad gana
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 mar. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
LIL
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 mar. 2011 |
LIL
2 - 1
VAL
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 mar. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
LIL
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 mar. 2011 |
LIL
0 - 0
LOR
63%
21%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 feb. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
LYO
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 mar. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 0
ARL
64%
23%
14%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 mar. 2011 |
ASN
2 - 0
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 mar. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
ASS
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 feb. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
CAE
49%
26%
26%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 feb. 2011 |
CAE
2 - 2
VAL
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |