Análisis Lille vs Caen
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
49.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.51
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Empate
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-4%
-14%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 ene. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 ene. 2016 |
LIL
5 - 1
GIR
36%
28%
37%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
LIL
1 - 3
TRO
55%
25%
20%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 ene. 2016 |
TRE
1 - 1
LIL
12%
22%
66%
|
82 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 ene. 2016 |
GIR
1 - 0
LIL
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 ene. 2016 |
CAE
2 - 0
NIC
29%
26%
46%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2016 |
MPL
1 - 2
CAE
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 ene. 2016 |
CAE
1 - 3
MAR
30%
26%
44%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 ene. 2016 |
ANG
2 - 0
CAE
32%
28%
40%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 ene. 2016 |
CAE
0 - 0
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |