Análisis Lille vs Valenciennes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
2
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
16.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.94
Goles esperados
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-2%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
LIL
67%
20%
14%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1978 |
LIL
2 - 2
BAS
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 oct. 1978 |
SOC
1 - 1
LIL
72%
17%
11%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1978 |
LIL
0 - 0
ANG
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1978 |
GIR
1 - 1
LIL
63%
21%
16%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 nov. 1978 |
VAL
2 - 0
NÎM
47%
27%
27%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 1978 |
REI
2 - 1
VAL
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 oct. 1978 |
VAL
2 - 2
STR
36%
29%
35%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 1978 |
NAN
4 - 0
VAL
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 1978 |
VAL
1 - 1
STL
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |