Análisis Lille vs Valenciennes
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Empate
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-3%
-1%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 1981 |
ASN
1 - 1
LIL
64%
20%
15%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 1
AUX
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 1981 |
LEN
1 - 0
LIL
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1981 |
LIL
2 - 1
PSG
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1981 |
SOC
1 - 1
LIL
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
Partidos
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 dic. 1981 |
VAL
0 - 1
GIR
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 1981 |
LYO
3 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 1981 |
ASS
5 - 1
VAL
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 nov. 1981 |
VAL
2 - 1
ASN
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 nov. 1981 |
NAN
4 - 1
VAL
74%
16%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |