Análisis Llanelli AFC vs Caernarfon Town
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
87.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
3.1
Goles esperados
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.9%
Empate
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.5
Goles esperados
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Llanelli AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2008 |
NEW
2 - 6
LLA
17%
21%
62%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 oct. 2008 |
LLA
6 - 1
PRE
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 oct. 2008 |
LLA
2 - 4
POR
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 oct. 2008 |
LLA
4 - 0
NEA
71%
16%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 sep. 2008 |
CEF
0 - 4
LLA
13%
19%
68%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
Partidos
Caernarfon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 oct. 2008 |
POR
1 - 0
CAE
66%
20%
15%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 oct. 2008 |
CEF
3 - 2
CAE
68%
17%
15%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 oct. 2008 |
POR
5 - 3
CAE
66%
18%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 sep. 2008 |
PRE
5 - 0
CAE
64%
19%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 sep. 2008 |
CAE
0 - 0
NEW
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |