Análisis Llanes vs Atlético de Lugones
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.82
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
22.5%
Empate
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.8
Goles esperados
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+13%
+164%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Llanes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 2012 |
CON
3 - 0
LLA
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2012 |
LLA
0 - 0
LUA
59%
23%
19%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 sep. 2012 |
LLA
1 - 0
GIN
66%
20%
15%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 sep. 2012 |
UPL
0 - 0
LLA
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 sep. 2012 |
LLA
3 - 1
ROB
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
Partidos
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 sep. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
UPL
35%
27%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 sep. 2012 |
ROB
1 - 1
ATL
59%
23%
19%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
PRA
58%
23%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 sep. 2012 |
CAN
0 - 0
ATL
59%
25%
16%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 sep. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
TAP
47%
25%
28%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |