Análisis Lobos BUAP vs Durango
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
62.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.98
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.1%
Empate
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.3%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 may. 2004 |
DUR
2 - 0
ZAP
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
JAG
2 - 1
DUR
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 abr. 2004 |
DUR
1 - 2
CAO
36%
25%
39%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2004 |
DUR
1 - 1
UDG
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
CAÑ
4 - 2
DUR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |