Análisis CD Logroñés vs Villegas

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto

Probabilidad del hándicap

80.5%
Probabilidad de victoria

                        
                    
2.39
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%

14.1%

Empate

0-0

5.8%

1-1

6.3%

2-2

1.7%

3-3

0.2%

4-4

<0%

0

14.1%

5.4%

Probabilidad de victoria

0.46

Goles esperados

0-1

2.6%

1-2

1.4%

2-3

0.3%

3-4

0%

-1

4.4%

0-2

0.6%

1-3

0.2%

2-4

0%

-2

0.9%

0-3

0.1%

1-4

0%

-3

0.1%

0-4

0%

-4

<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

CD Logroñés

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
04 ene. 2009	ARN 1 - 0 LOG 12% 21% 67%	43	18	25	0
21 dic. 2008	LOG 0 - 1 BER 81% 14% 5%	43	16	27	0
14 dic. 2008	CAL 3 - 0 LOG 11% 20% 70%	46	14	32	-3
08 dic. 2008	LOG 4 - 1 CEN 79% 14% 7%	46	16	30	0
06 dic. 2008	VAR 1 - 0 LOG 21% 25% 54%	47	33	14	-1

Partidos

Villegas

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
31 ene. 2009	VIL 1 - 1 ARN 30% 26% 44%	16	21	5	0
25 ene. 2009	BER 0 - 2 VIL 59% 23% 19%	14	18	4	+2
17 ene. 2009	VIL 2 - 2 CAL 21% 23% 56%	14	25	11	0
11 ene. 2009	CEN 2 - 2 VIL 51% 23% 26%	14	15	1	0
04 ene. 2009	VAR 3 - 2 VIL 78% 15% 6%	14	37	23	0