Análisis Loja vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.9
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.99
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+49%
-6%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 feb. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOJ
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2000 |
G74
3 - 1
LOJ
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 ene. 2000 |
LOJ
2 - 3
CDL
31%
28%
41%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 ene. 2000 |
JUV
3 - 0
LOJ
26%
26%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 ene. 2000 |
LOJ
0 - 0
MAR
38%
28%
34%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 feb. 2000 |
MAN
0 - 0
CDL
22%
26%
53%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 ene. 2000 |
JUV
0 - 1
MAN
57%
23%
20%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 ene. 2000 |
MAN
0 - 4
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 ene. 2000 |
MAR
4 - 1
MAN
68%
20%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 ene. 2000 |
MAN
2 - 0
ANT
37%
27%
36%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +2 |