Análisis Loja vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.86
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.2%
Empate
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.85
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+32%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 jun. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
LOJ
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 jun. 2011 |
LOJ
3 - 2
SAN
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 may. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
28%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 may. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
LOJ
74%
16%
9%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 0
HUE
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 may. 2011 |
ALH
2 - 0
MAN
61%
22%
17%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 may. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 0
MOT
38%
28%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 may. 2011 |
BAZ
0 - 0
MAN
32%
28%
41%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
MAL
32%
26%
41%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 abr. 2011 |
LOJ
1 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |