Análisis Loja vs Mancha Real
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
70.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.08
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.9%
Empate
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.66
Goles esperados
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+14%
+18%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 0
LOJ
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2014 |
LOJ
0 - 3
MAL
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 nov. 2014 |
AME
0 - 2
LOJ
10%
17%
73%
|
41 | 14 | 27 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
LOJ
2 - 0
CDE
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
ALH
2 - 5
LOJ
17%
23%
60%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
Partidos
Mancha Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 2
VIL
59%
24%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 nov. 2014 |
ATA
0 - 0
MAN
34%
28%
38%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 nov. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
RON
54%
25%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 oct. 2014 |
ANT
0 - 1
MAN
33%
27%
39%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 oct. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 0
UDS
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |