Análisis Loja vs CD Basto
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.13
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.9%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
9%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.59
Goles esperados
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2006 |
ALB
2 - 3
LOJ
47%
28%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
LOJ
0 - 1
HUE
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 ene. 2006 |
LOJ
1 - 0
SAN
50%
27%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2005 |
UBE
0 - 2
LOJ
36%
28%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 dic. 2005 |
ARE
1 - 0
LOJ
72%
19%
10%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Basto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 ene. 2006 |
CDB
0 - 2
ARE
12%
21%
66%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 15 ene. 2006 |
GRA
4 - 0
CDB
82%
13%
6%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 ene. 2006 |
ALH
4 - 0
CDB
81%
13%
6%
|
13 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 dic. 2005 |
CDB
0 - 0
MOT
13%
22%
65%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | +2 |
| 11 dic. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 0
CDB
84%
11%
5%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | 0 |