Análisis Loja vs Carolinense
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.9
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.6%
Empate
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
45.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.28
Goles esperados
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
+42%
+25%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Loja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2004 |
ALM
0 - 0
LOJ
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
LOJ
0 - 1
TOR
23%
27%
50%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
RUS
1 - 1
LOJ
20%
23%
57%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 nov. 2004 |
LOJ
0 - 2
MAN
50%
27%
22%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
GRA
0 - 1
LOJ
74%
18%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
Partidos
Carolinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 dic. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 0
MOT
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 nov. 2004 |
GUA
0 - 0
CAR
41%
28%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 nov. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
ALH
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 nov. 2004 |
CAR
0 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
22%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 nov. 2004 |
ALM
0 - 2
CAR
36%
26%
38%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |