Análisis Lorca Deportiva vs Baza
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
68.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.09
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.3%
Empate
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.75
Goles esperados
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 0
LOR
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2007 |
LOR
1 - 2
LUC
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 nov. 2007 |
TAL
0 - 0
LOR
31%
28%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 oct. 2007 |
LOR
2 - 0
RJA
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 oct. 2007 |
ALG
1 - 0
LOR
19%
28%
53%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
Partidos
Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 nov. 2007 |
BAZ
1 - 4
MEL
41%
29%
30%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 nov. 2007 |
GRA
1 - 1
BAZ
52%
25%
23%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 nov. 2007 |
BAZ
0 - 1
ECI
33%
28%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 oct. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 0
BAZ
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 oct. 2007 |
BAZ
0 - 1
PUE
43%
28%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |