Análisis Lorca Deportiva vs Hércules
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
56.5%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Empate
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 abr. 2004 |
CAS
0 - 1
LOR
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 abr. 2004 |
LOR
4 - 0
FIG
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 abr. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 0
LOR
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 abr. 2004 |
VAL
1 - 1
LOR
44%
26%
31%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
LOR
2 - 0
MLL
54%
23%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 may. 2004 |
HER
5 - 3
MLL
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 abr. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 0
HER
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 abr. 2004 |
HER
2 - 1
SAB
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 abr. 2004 |
LLE
2 - 2
HER
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 abr. 2004 |
HER
3 - 1
VIJ
56%
25%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |