Ligue 1 Jor. 19

Análisis Lorient vs Caen

Lorient Caen
83 ELO 80
-14.1% Tilt 3.2%
185º Ranking ELO general 1121º
14º Ranking ELO país 42º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
45.1%
Lorient
26.1%
Empate
28.8%
Caen

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
45.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
Lorient
1.46
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
Caen
1.11
Goles esperados
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →
Lorient
+9%
-14%
Caen

Progresión del ELO

Lorient
Caen
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Lorient
Lorient
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 dic. 2011
MAR
Olympique Marseille
2 - 1
Lorient
LOR
67%
20%
13%
83 90 7 0
11 dic. 2011
LOR
Lorient
0 - 1
Olympique Lyonnais
LYO
24%
25%
51%
84 89 5 -1
03 dic. 2011
MPL
Montpellier
4 - 0
Lorient
LOR
43%
26%
31%
84 83 1 0
27 nov. 2011
LOR
Lorient
1 - 0
Nice
NIC
54%
25%
21%
84 80 4 0
19 nov. 2011
ETG
Evian Thonon Gaillard
2 - 1
Lorient
LOR
33%
26%
41%
84 76 8 0

Partidos

Caen
Caen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 dic. 2011
CAE
Caen
1 - 2
Nancy
ASN
44%
27%
28%
80 80 0 0
10 dic. 2011
ASS
Saint-Étienne
2 - 0
Caen
CAE
45%
25%
30%
80 82 2 0
02 dic. 2011
CAE
Caen
1 - 2
Olympique Marseille
MAR
19%
24%
56%
80 89 9 0
26 nov. 2011
GIR
Girondins Bordeaux
2 - 0
Caen
CAE
50%
25%
25%
81 85 4 -1
19 nov. 2011
AJA
Ajaccio
2 - 2
Caen
CAE
20%
24%
56%
81 69 12 0