Análisis Lourdes vs Aluvión
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
73.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
2.5
Goles esperados
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
15.9%
Empate
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.4%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
-11%
+15%
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lourdes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2013 |
MEN
3 - 0
LOU
61%
22%
17%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2013 |
LOU
1 - 1
CDO
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 oct. 2013 |
PEN
2 - 0
LOU
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 oct. 2013 |
LOU
2 - 2
AZK
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 oct. 2013 |
CDL
0 - 3
LOU
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
Partidos
Aluvión
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 nov. 2013 |
ALU
0 - 1
LAP
44%
24%
32%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 nov. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 0
ALU
47%
23%
30%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 oct. 2013 |
ALU
0 - 2
IDO
20%
24%
56%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 oct. 2013 |
RIB
1 - 0
ALU
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 oct. 2013 |
ALU
3 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |