Análisis Lovcen vs Mogren
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad de cada diferencia de goles
60.2%
Probabilidad gana
1.91
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.9%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.9%
Probabilidad gana
0.93
Goles esperados
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 dic. 2014 |
ZET
2 - 3
LOV
48%
27%
26%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2014 |
LOV
4 - 1
BOK
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 nov. 2014 |
LOV
1 - 1
PET
45%
26%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2014 |
BUD
2 - 0
LOV
57%
24%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 2014 |
LOV
0 - 1
PET
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
Partidos
Mogren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 dic. 2014 |
MOG
0 - 3
RUD
31%
27%
43%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 nov. 2014 |
GRB
4 - 2
MOG
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 nov. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 2
BER
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 nov. 2014 |
MOG
2 - 1
ZET
39%
25%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 nov. 2014 |
BOK
5 - 0
MOG
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |