Tercera División Andalucia y Ceuta Jor. 11

Análisis Lucena vs CMD San Juan

Lucena CMD San Juan
36 ELO 31
-3.6% Tilt -5.3%
18722º Ranking ELO general 15385º
5826º Ranking ELO país 4160º
Probabilidad ELO de victoria
57.6%
Lucena
22.4%
Empate
20.1%
CMD San Juan

Resultados posibles

Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
Lucena
1.87
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.4%
Empate
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
20.1%
Win probability
CMD San Juan
1.01
Goles esperados
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

Gráfica ELO/Inclinación

← Defensivo Tilt Ofensivo →

Progresión del ELO

Lucena
CMD San Juan
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO

Partidos

Lucena
Lucena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 oct. 2015
ALC
CD Alcalá
3 - 1
Lucena
LUC
28%
26%
47%
37 29 8 0
07 oct. 2015
LUC
Lucena
2 - 5
At. Sanluqueño
SAN
42%
26%
32%
39 40 1 -2
04 oct. 2015
LUC
Lucena
1 - 6
CD Inter Sevilla
CIS
45%
25%
30%
41 39 2 -2
20 sep. 2015
LUC
Lucena
2 - 2
San Fernando CD
SAN
27%
26%
48%
41 49 8 0
16 sep. 2015
UTR
Utrera
3 - 1
Lucena
LUC
11%
20%
69%
43 19 24 -2

Partidos

CMD San Juan
CMD San Juan
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 oct. 2015
ASJ
CMD San Juan
2 - 0
Arcos CF
ARC
44%
26%
30%
31 30 1 0
07 oct. 2015
SAN
San Fernando CD
1 - 0
CMD San Juan
ASJ
76%
16%
8%
31 49 18 0
04 oct. 2015
ASJ
CMD San Juan
3 - 1
Utrera
UTR
55%
24%
21%
30 26 4 +1
30 sep. 2015
ECI
Écija Balompié
3 - 1
CMD San Juan
ASJ
61%
21%
18%
31 36 5 -1
27 sep. 2015
SEV
Sevilla C
2 - 0
CMD San Juan
ASJ
41%
26%
33%
33 32 1 -2