Análisis Lucena vs Almería B
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
60.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.73
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.76
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 ago. 2011 |
ROQ
0 - 1
LUC
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 ago. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 0
ECI
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
BET
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 may. 2011 |
EST
0 - 0
LUC
43%
27%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2011 |
LUC
4 - 0
YEC
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
Partidos
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 ago. 2011 |
ALM
2 - 1
CPC
45%
26%
30%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2011 |
BAL
4 - 2
ALM
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
JUM
0 - 2
ALM
21%
27%
52%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 may. 2011 |
ALM
0 - 1
CFB
39%
27%
35%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 may. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 1
ALM
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -2 |