Análisis Lucena vs CD Badajoz
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
61.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.8
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.6%
Empate
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
15.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.78
Goles esperados
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2011 |
MEL
0 - 1
LUC
55%
25%
20%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 sep. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 2
ALM
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 ago. 2011 |
ROQ
0 - 1
LUC
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 ago. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 0
ECI
50%
26%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
LUC
1 - 1
BET
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
Partidos
CD Badajoz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 sep. 2011 |
CDB
1 - 1
CPC
41%
27%
33%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 sep. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
CDB
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 ago. 2011 |
CDB
1 - 1
BET
41%
26%
33%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 ago. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
CDB
20%
25%
56%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 may. 2011 |
CDB
1 - 0
ULP
35%
27%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |