Análisis Lucena vs FC Cartagena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
26.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.86
Goles esperados
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
30.1%
Empate
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
43.1%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.17
Goles esperados
0-1
15.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2008 |
MEL
3 - 2
LUC
58%
25%
17%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 2
ECI
22%
27%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 ene. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 1
PUE
30%
30%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 dic. 2007 |
CDL
3 - 0
LUC
63%
23%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 1
AGD
32%
31%
37%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Partidos
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 ene. 2008 |
CAR
2 - 3
TAL
59%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 ene. 2008 |
RJA
2 - 0
CAR
36%
30%
33%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 ene. 2008 |
ALG
0 - 2
CAR
25%
30%
46%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 dic. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 0
ALC
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 dic. 2007 |
MER
3 - 0
CAR
29%
31%
41%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |