Análisis Lucena vs A. Cerro Águila
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
59.2%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.89
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Empate
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.96
Goles esperados
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2003 |
COR
7 - 2
LUC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
LUC
3 - 1
CRD
60%
23%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
BAR
2 - 0
LUC
37%
25%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
LUC
4 - 3
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 oct. 2003 |
JER
1 - 1
LUC
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
A. Cerro Águila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 nov. 2003 |
SOL
0 - 2
VVA
29%
26%
45%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 nov. 2003 |
SCF
0 - 1
SOL
42%
26%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 nov. 2003 |
SOL
0 - 2
ANT
42%
24%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 nov. 2003 |
DHE
3 - 0
SOL
73%
17%
11%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |
| 26 oct. 2003 |
SOL
1 - 0
SFE
37%
26%
37%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |