Análisis Lucena vs Conil
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
58%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.76
Goles esperados
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Empate
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.88
Goles esperados
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1994 |
ASJ
2 - 0
LUC
53%
24%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1994 |
LUC
2 - 1
LAP
53%
25%
22%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 dic. 1994 |
LUC
0 - 0
MAI
60%
24%
17%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 nov. 1994 |
AGD
1 - 2
LUC
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 nov. 1994 |
LUC
2 - 0
POZ
33%
29%
38%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | +2 |
Partidos
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 dic. 1994 |
CON
1 - 1
AGD
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 dic. 1994 |
POZ
6 - 1
CON
72%
18%
11%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 dic. 1994 |
CON
3 - 0
ATC
39%
28%
34%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 nov. 1994 |
ICR
3 - 0
CON
74%
17%
9%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 nov. 1994 |
CON
1 - 2
JER
53%
25%
22%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |