Análisis Lucena vs Mairena
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
50.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.37
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
27.9%
Empate
0-0
11.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.9%
21.6%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.79
Goles esperados
0-1
9.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2007 |
POZ
1 - 0
LUC
41%
27%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
LUC
4 - 0
CAB
66%
22%
12%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
ARC
1 - 0
LUC
48%
26%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 feb. 2007 |
CRD
0 - 1
LUC
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
LUC
1 - 1
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Partidos
Mairena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 mar. 2007 |
MAI
2 - 2
BAR
49%
25%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 mar. 2007 |
BAL
1 - 0
MAI
58%
25%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 feb. 2007 |
MAI
1 - 0
PAL
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 feb. 2007 |
JER
0 - 1
MAI
50%
27%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 feb. 2007 |
MAI
2 - 1
AYA
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |