Análisis Lucena vs UD Melilla
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
47.7%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.45
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.5%
Empate
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1
Goles esperados
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
LUC
30%
29%
41%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 3
ALB
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2014 |
LOR
1 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
21%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 mar. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
LUC
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 mar. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAL
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Partidos
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 mar. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAL
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 mar. 2014 |
ECI
2 - 1
MEL
30%
27%
43%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 mar. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 mar. 2014 |
CAD
5 - 1
MEL
62%
23%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 mar. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |