Análisis Lucena vs Real Jaén
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
19.7%
Win probability
0.83
Goles esperados
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 nov. 2011 |
POL
0 - 2
LUC
36%
28%
37%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
LUC
3 - 3
PUE
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 oct. 2011 |
SRQ
1 - 0
LUC
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
LUC
2 - 1
LOR
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 oct. 2011 |
VIL
2 - 4
LUC
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Partidos
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 nov. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 0
RJA
87%
10%
3%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 nov. 2011 |
RJA
0 - 0
CPC
53%
28%
20%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 oct. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 0
RJA
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 oct. 2011 |
RJA
0 - 3
BET
45%
29%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 oct. 2011 |
SPO
0 - 1
RJA
20%
28%
53%
|
59 | 37 | 22 | 0 |