Análisis Lucena vs Roteña
Resultados posibles
Probabilidad de cada resultado exacto
Probabilidad del hándicap
51.9%
Probabilidad de victoria
1.58
Goles esperados
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.3%
Empate
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
22.8%
Probabilidad de victoria
0.95
Goles esperados
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
Gráfica ELO/Inclinación
← Defensivo
Tilt
Ofensivo →
Progresión del ELO
Rivales próximos en puntos de ELO
Partidos
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 1993 |
CDR
1 - 1
LUC
40%
28%
32%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1993 |
LUC
2 - 1
POZ
54%
26%
20%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 1993 |
PAL
0 - 0
LUC
61%
23%
16%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 mar. 1993 |
LUC
1 - 1
LEB
49%
27%
24%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 mar. 1993 |
LAP
1 - 1
LUC
52%
26%
22%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
Partidos
Roteña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 abr. 1993 |
UDR
2 - 0
COR
42%
27%
30%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 mar. 1993 |
MAI
0 - 0
UDR
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 mar. 1993 |
ASJ
3 - 2
UDR
50%
26%
24%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 mar. 1993 |
UDR
0 - 1
CDR
63%
21%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 mar. 1993 |
POZ
2 - 1
UDR
45%
27%
28%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |